The time of transition is here. Our Spring Fantasy Movie League ended yesterday and the final scores were posted earlier today. Now the Summer League is upon us, a time for new picks, new deadlines, and new rules.
Thanks to the changes that FML made earlier this year, leagues can go their own way. Going with my whim and the results of a poll I posted l two weeks back, the TAGN league will be departing for the FML default to charts its own path. I give you the summer season!
The rules for the season, as you can probably guess from the graphic above, are:
- No bonuses – Raw box office take only
- Early lock – Thursday at 9am Pacific Time
The early lock will keep people from being able to pick based on the Thursday night previews that are usually available before the standard 9am Friday lock time. It will also keep the final theater count out of the running, since that usually doesn’t finalize until Thursday around noon Pacific Time. (New arrivals usually have a theater count before then, but you might not know which older titles are going to drop theaters.)
And then there is the no bonuses thing. People seemed in agreement on cutting out the $5 million weekly perfect pick bonus.
But I also decided to go against the grain and kill the best performer bonus, which is $2 million a screen, so capable of adding as much as $16 million to a weekly pick, as it did with the Baby Driver lineup last summer. I can see the upside of it, but I felt a no bonus league would be better, or at least more interesting. We shall see.
There is still a $2 million per screen penalty for blank screens, but I did not add in a penalty (or bonus) for getting the worst performing pick each week.
The hope is for there to be more volatility and variety in the picks with less time to research without leading to insurmountable scoring gaps with the absence of the bonuses. We shall see.
So if you are up for it, let the summer games begin.
The opening week of summer, coming after the three day Memorial Weekend is a bit of a let down.
Solo $514 Deadpool 2 $325 Adrift $215 Avengers: Infinity War $167 Action Point $143 Book Club $126 Upgrade $62 Life of the Party $49 Breaking In $36 Overboard $30 Show Dogs $25 A Quiet Place $21 Best of the Rest $19 RBG $15 Rampage $7
There are three new movies on the list this week, Adrift, Action Point, and Upgrade, but none of them are in the summer blockbuster league. The best of them, Adrift, only made it to third on the price list. Instead Solo, now condensed to a single day, tops the list for the weekend, followed by Deadpool 2. And I feel like Avengers is a better pick than Adrift for the pricing.
At the filler end of things is almost all of the same old stuff we’ve been looking at for at least a few weeks… aside from Upgrade, which made the filler end of things in its first week. But it might be the wild card if it does better than the $2.5 million that the long range forecast has it pegged to do.
This week’s surprising bit is the return of the Best of the Rest at $19, putting it ahead of two picks. When Best of the Rest isn’t the cheapest pick, it always makes me wonder. If there is some movie that they expect will be better than others already on the list, why not just put that movie on the list? And if there is not, what justifies Best of the Rest being more expensive than RBG and Rampage.
So those are the choices for week one of the summer.
If you want to join in, now is the time. I will put a link in the comments that you can click on to get into the league. You will need to create an account, but that doesn’t take much.
You also have an extra day to join. On weeks that start with a Monday holiday all lock times are pushed back a day, so the lock time for the league this week will be the usual Friday at 9am Pacific Time. Starting next week the league picks will lock on Thursday at 9am.