Daily Archives: January 16, 2019

Winter Movie League – The Mid Point

No, I am not going to cover the winter season the way I covered past seasons, with weekly updates and such.  But people in the TAGN league are still playing every week and it has been interesting to watch.  We’re now about at the mid point of the season, with week six having finished and week seven coming up, so I thought I would do a post about how things are playing out.

Also, this past weekend was one of those season defining weeks where, if you didn’t jump on the right anchor you likely got left behind.

Up until week six there was a pretty tight race going for the top three spots between Goat, SynCaine, and myself, with not much of a gap between us and the rest of the pack.  It wasn’t a bad spread, with those far behind usually because they missed a week.

And then week six hit and The Upside, which had been predicted to do about $13 million, and had been priced accordingly, did $20 million so if you didn’t anchor on that you were screwed.  Only Goat and I had the right anchor.  I went with 4x The Upside and 4x Vice while Goat went with 5x The Upside, 2x Vice, and 2x empty screens, which turned out to be the perfect pick.

I cannot recall when the perfect pick included two empty screens.  I actually toyed with that lineup, as I felt that The Upside was a bit under priced given its buzz (Kevin Hart’s problems hosting the Oscars only helped on that front), but couldn’t bring myself to leave two empty spots.  So the week looked like this:

  1. Goat Water Picture Palace – $116,010,830
  2. Wilhelm’s Kul Tiras Kino – $102,363,320
  3. Darren’s Unwatched Cineplex – $64,170,306
  4. Ben’s X-Wing Express – $64,170,306
  5. SynCaine’s Dark Room of Delights – $60,659,845
  6. Too Orangey For Crows – $58,586,516
  7. Miniature Giant Space Hamsterplex – $57,438,761
  8. Vigo Grimborne’s Medieval Screening Complex – $54,186,025
  9. Joanie’s Joint – $49,762,629
  10. Skar’s Movies and Meat Pies – $45,964,923

Basically, if you anchored on The Upside you ended up above $100 million.  If you chose anything else you were below $65 million.

That left the overall scores for the winter season looking like this:

  1. Goat Water Picture Palace – $525,553,244
  2. Wilhelm’s Kul Tiras Kino – $512,671,360
  3. SynCaine’s Dark Room of Delights – $473,761,625
  4. Darren’s Unwatched Cineplex – $441,359,364
  5. Joanie’s Joint – $423,390,275
  6. Ben’s X-Wing Express – $421,728,914
  7. Too Orangey For Crows – $417,649,958
  8. Skar’s Movies and Meat Pies – $411,093,170
  9. grannanj’s Cineplex – $388,827,991
  10. Miniature Giant Space Hamsterplex – $379,559,593

While this hasn’t been a “real” season, at least ten people have picked every week so far… not always the same people, but still at least ten… so the league has been active.

And, as noted, while week six was interesting due to its outcome, week seven looks interesting due to its choices.  The line up for week seven is:

Glass FRI/SAT                      $586
Glass SUN/MON                      $336
The Upside                         $212
Aquaman                            $190
A Dog's Way Home                   $128
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse  $126
Dragon Ball Super                  $87
Mary Poppins Returns               $73
Bumblebee                          $70
Escape Room                        $67
Bohemian Rhapsody                  $62
On The Basis of Sex                $56
The Mule                           $56
If Beale Street Could Talk         $51
Green Book                         $39

This coming weekend is a holiday in the US, so Monday will count towards the weekend totals.

It also sees the opening of Glass, the long delayed sequel to UnbreakableGlass is clearly expected to top the box office, but not by enough to split it into four days.  I am interested to see how Glass does.

Unbreakable did very well back in 2000.  I remember going to see it.  Over at Screen Junkies they did an Honest Trailer about it, which was as amusing as usual.  But the commentary video about that was interesting as they discussed how, when Unbreakable was launched, super hero films were not nearly as thick on the ground as they are today, largely thanks to the Marvel Cinematic Universe, and how Unbreakable might be viewed were it released today.  A super hero origin story is a well established part of the genre now, but back then… well, I am not sure it was obvious at the time that Unbreakable was a super hero story.

And then there is Split from 2016, which I only learned as I went to look up the release date for Unbreakable, was actually tied in with the original, with Glass bringing those two together.  I am not sure how that will play into things, but there it is.

Anyway, an interesting week.  I am still debating on whether to bet on 1x FRI/SAT or 2x SUN/MON when it comes to Glass, but I am sure my anchor will be one of those.

Also, while I have indulged myself in a mid-season check-in, I don’t think I will suddenly resume weekly posts.  My drafts folder is full enough that I am not dying for post topics.  But I might come back at the end of the season just to post results and put up the link to join the league again for the spring season.  Spring will be another practice season, so to speak, before I go back to real coverage for the summer blockbuster season.