Tag Archives: EVE Monthly Economic Report

CCP Offers Up Broken Monthly Economic Report for December

We got the EVE Online Monthly Economic Report for December last week and I waited a while to write about it because what they put out was simply and obviously wrong in places.  At least more so than usual, so I thought they might go back and fix the most egregious bit.  I am ever the optimist.

EVE Online nerds harder

But, since no update appears to be forthcoming, lets look at what they gave us and hope for better next time.

Destruction

The flaw in the December MER is the destruction numbers.  If you pull out the regional data for destruction, the top ten regions are:

  1. Delve – 3.23 trillion
  2. The Forge – 2.1 trillion
  3. The Citadel – 1.77 trillion
  4. Lonetrek – 1.68 trillion
  5. Catch – 1.47 trillion
  6. Metropolis – 1.38 trillion
  7. Sinq Laison – 1.26 trillion
  8. Domain – 1.04 trillion
  9. Genesis – 832 billion
  10. Black Rise – 753 billion

The total destruction according to the regional data was 35 trillion ISK.  That put Delve down by more than a trillion from November, with overall destruction down by trillion.

The problem is that the number for Delve… and thus the total number for all regions… was very far from the actual mark.

With the war on and the huge battle at M2-XFE that started on December 30th and ran until downtime at 11:00 UTC on December 31st, many of us were expecting to see a huge jump in the destruction numbers for the Delve regional data.  The battle report showed more than 20 trillion ISK destroyed in that first fight.

Battle Report Header

That seems like a big miss.

I sometimes get a bit pissy about CCP and the MER because the numbers from one chart and data set do not line up with numbers from another chart and data set.  It seems like a summer intern project to write a little unit test to validate the data being pulled.  And this month is no different, but at least this time around another data set shows that the regional data is bad, at least for Delve.  So I will bring up the Produced, Destroyed, Mined chart.

Dec 2020 – Produced vs Destroyed vs Mined

This tracks the daily data game wide, with the thick line being the 30 day moving average and the light lines being the actual daily totals.  You can see there, at the end of December, the daily number jumps up off the chart, which has a top range of 6 trillion ISK.  Likewise, the 30 day average for destruction is pulled up, exceeding production.

CCP provides the raw data for that chart in a .csv file, so anybody can see what the actual amounts are.  The total destruction in the data for December is 74.83 trillion ISK, and the value for just December 31st, which covers the primary portion of the battle before downtime, is 23.26 trillion ISK.  (The second battle is in the data already, as it leaks out into the current date when they pull the report, and that totals up to 15, 4 trillion ISK destroyed on January 3rd.)

Of course, the data for that chart isn’t wholly accurate as well as there are three days missing, December 3, 4, and 26.  Still, they reflect the reality of the situation more than the alternative.

So the regional stats are off by a good 40 trillion ISK total, and at least the amount of that battle report for just Delve.  So a more likely ranking is:

  1. Delve – 26 trillion (estimated)
  2. The Forge – 2.1 trillion
  3. The Citadel – 1.77 trillion
  4. Lonetrek – 1.68 trillion
  5. Catch – 1.47 trillion
  6. Metropolis – 1.38 trillion
  7. Sinq Laison – 1.26 trillion
  8. Domain – 1.04 trillion
  9. Genesis – 832 billion
  10. Black Rise – 753 billion

Anyway, here is to hoping they’ll set things right next month.

NPC Bounties

Moving on to NPC bounties, which were the big story last month, we see they are still way down.

Dec – and Faucets Over Time

The numbers began to crash when the ESS and the Dynamic Bounty System were introduced to the game in November.

Total bounties collect in November were 39.3 trillion, which was down from 55.9 trillion in October, the last full month without the new systems.  December, the first full month with the ESS and DBS changes saw that number tumble to 22.8 trillion ISK.

Even with the ESS payments, which amounted to 6.5 trillion ISK, that leaves the total at a little more than half of the value paid out in October.  This is a big hit to income.  The top regions for December were:

  1. Oasa – 1.62 trillion (PandaFam)
  2. Vale of the Silent – 1.19 trillion (mixed small groups)
  3. The Kalevala Expanse – 1.02 trillion (PandaFam)
  4. Perrigen Falls – 996 billion (PandaFam)
  5. Insmother – 918 billion (Legacy)
  6. Cobalt Edge – 753 billion (PandaFam)
  7. Tenal – 739 billion (PandaFam)
  8. Metropolis – 737 billion (High Sec)
  9. Branch – 711 billion (PandaFam)
  10. Fountain – 699 billion (Imperium)

Of note is that a high sec region has entered the top ten, meaning that NPC bounties collected by mission runners are now likely a significant portion of the remaining bounty total.  There are no Forsaken Hubs in Metropolis.

Outside of NPC bounties, the sinks and faucets for December looked like this:

Dec 2020 – Sinks and Faucets

Commodities, which are drops from NPCs in wormhole space, Abyssal Deadspace, and the December holiday event (and maybe the bonds from robbing an ESS in null sec) and sold back to NPCs, continue be the largest ISK faucet into the game, ringing in at 40.59 trillion ISK.

After that there is NPC bounties, which are now in close competition with incursion payouts.  And then there is insurance, which if you look at the first sinks and faucets chart, saw a spike at the end of December, no doubt related to the battle at M2-XFE.

Production

Turning to production, the regional data shows the following regions as the top of the list:

  1. The Forge – 21 trillion (High Sec)
  2. Delve – 7 trillion (Imperium)
  3. Lonetrek – 6.94 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Sinq Laison – 6.25 trillion (High Sec)
  5. The Citadel – 5.73 trillion (High Sec)
  6. Domain – 4.51 trillion (High Sec)
  7. Tribute – 4.22 trillion (mixed small groups)
  8. Esoteria – 3.73 trillion (Legacy)
  9. Vale of the Silent – 3.64 trillion (mixed small groups)
  10. Heimatar – 3.07 trillion (High Sec)

The Forge, and the high sec regions around it, which support the Jita market, remain strong.  Delve, home of the Imperium, led the production outside of high sec.  The war has kept production going.  Legacy production remained ongoing in Esoteria despite claims that they were set to abandon the region.  Oddly, two regions of small holders, Tribute and Vale of the Silent, made the top ten, but PandaFam in Oasa fell to 11th and off the list.

The total for production in the regional data was 107.84 trillion ISK, though since I’m double checking things this month, the production/destruction data only shows it at 74.83 trillion ISK.  However, that is missing three days.  I am not sure those three days would make up the gap, so it shows once again that the data can be questioned.

Trade

Then there is trade value, where the top regions were:

  1. The Forge – 429 trillion (Jita)
  2. Domain – 51 trillion (Amarr)
  3. Sinq Laison – 20.6 trillion (Dodixie)
  4. Lonetrek – 16.25 trillion (Caldari High Sec)
  5. Delve – 16.21 trillion (War Zone)
  6. Metropolis – 10.9 trillion (Hek)
  7. Heimatar – 10.1 trillion (Rens)
  8. Essence – 5.55 trillion (Gallente High Sec))
  9. The Citadel – 5.34 trillion (Caldari High Sec)
  10. Tash-Murkon – 3.65 trillion (Amarr High Sec)

Everything was about in the same zone as November, save for Delve, which was down about 6 trillion ISK.  That is odd because with both sides now based in Delve there ought to be more buying rather than less.

Mining

Finally, there is mining.  After seeming to plateau in November, mineral prices continued their climb skyward as CCP’s keeps the starvation economy plan in place.

Dec 2020 – Economic Indices

The October peak was an all time high point for mineral prices and now the spike continues.

Mining remained largely a high sec occupation, though Oasa in PandaFam territory climbed to the top of the list in December.

  1. Oasa – 1.27 trillion
  2. The Forge – 1.17 trillion
  3. Metropolis – 1.04 trillion
  4. Domain – 990 billion
  5. Sinq Laison – 824 billion
  6. Lonetrek – 751 billion
  7. The Citadel – 617 billion
  8. Tash-Murkon – 575 billion
  9. Perrigen Falls – 568 billion
  10. Everyshore – 559 billion

Aside from Oasa, which is up slightly, numbers are down in every region on that list.  Since the value of ore mined depends on the price, that appears to mean that a lot less mining went on in December, even in Oasa.  The total mined from the region data was 19.9 trillion in value, down from 23.7 trillion in November.

Since we’re skeptical of the regional data this month, I double checked it against the Produced/Destroyed/Mined data which, despite missing the three days indicated above, shows 19.8 trillion ISK value mined, down from 24.9 in November.  That is within the usual margin of error between the different data collection methods.

So it goes.

As always, you can find all the standard charts and the raw data used to create them… such that it is… in the MER dev blog.

Related:

The November MER Shows Bounties Tanking and Mineral Prices Plateauing in EVE Online

CCP released the EVE Online Monthly Economic Report for November 2020 late last week, so it is time to see where the war and CCP’s nerfs are having an impact.

EVE Online nerds harder

NPC Bounties

I want to start with the biggest impact, which came with NPC bounties, long the largest ISK faucet in the game.  On November 10th CCP launched the Dynamic Bounty System and the mandatory Encounter Surveillance System changes, both aimed squarely at turning down the ISK faucet.

And how did that work out?  Direct hit maybe?  Look at the chart.

Nov 2020 – Top Sinks and Faucets Over Time

NPC bounties fell as far in November as they ever have on that chart, dipping down into the region of the Chaos Era experiments of summer 2019.  Even though the nerf only hit the last two thirds of the month, the numbers were telling when compared to October.

October 2020 vs. November 2020 faucets

You may need to click on that chart above to read the numbers, but you’ll see that NPC Bounties dropped off by 24 trillion ISK in November, allowing NPC Commodities… which is mostly wormhole income, with some Abyssal deadspace turn-ins… to jump to the top of the chart.  In fact, NPC Commodities and Incursion Payouts both jumped in November, almost as though people were looking for other channels to earn ISK.

As for where the bounties were being claimed, most of the usual suspects are in the top ten, but most took a hit.

  1. Oasa – 4.10 trillion (PandaFam) 66% of October
  2. Cobalt Edge – 2.17 trillion (PandaFam) 60% of October
  3. Perrigen Falls – 1.99 trillion (PandaFam) 69% of October
  4. Branch – 1.95 trillion (PandaFam) 46% of October
  5. Fountain – 1.88 trillion (Imperium) 115% of October
  6. Vale of the Silent – 1.80 trillion (mixed small groups) 71% of October
  7. The Kalevala Expanse – 1.77 trillion (PandaFam) 79% of October
  8. Detorid – 1.41 trillion (Legacy) 72% of October
  9. Insmother – 1.34 trillion (Legacy) 65% of October
  10. Tenal – 1.24 trillion (PandaFam) 70% of October

The one region that was up was Fountain, which wasn’t in the top ten in October.  I think that is where The Initiative was doing some ratting, though it might have been LowSechnaya Sholupen, which holds the constellations close to Aridia.

Overall the regional totals added up to 39.3 trillion ISK, down from 55.9 trillion ISK in October.  And, yes, those numbers do not match the ones on those bar graphs above because CCP calculates the numbers differently in different areas.  My total for regions comes from the raw data in the regionalstats.csv file that comes with the report.

Mining

Mining is still living with the nerfs from earlier that are keeping mineral prices at or near their all time high.

Nov 2020 – Economic Indices – Long Term

If you look at the short term indices chart, you can see a slight dip in November relative to the October peak.

Nov 2020 – Economic Indices

But that is mostly likely just the market prices stabilizing after the shock of the huge nerf to mining.  Minerals remain expensive and rare.

The top regions for mining remain mostly high sec.

  1. The Forge – 1.37 trillion (High Sec)
  2. Metropolis – 1.26 trillion (High Sec)
  3. Domain – 1.22 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Oasa – 1.20 trillion (PandaFam)
  5. Sinq Laison – 979 billion (High Sec)
  6. Lonetrek – 874 billion (High Sec)
  7. Tash-Murkon – 793 billion (High Sec)
  8. Derelik – 739 billion (High Sec)
  9. Essence – 669 billion (High Sec)
  10. The Citadel – 665 billion (High Sec)

A total of 23.7 trillion ISK in mineral value was mined in November, down from the 28.68 trillion ISK in value mined in October.  The new mining meta is to sit in high sec in a brick tanked Orca and AFK mine with drones.

Production

The top regions for production in November were:

  1. The Forge – 21.59 trillion (High Sec)
  2. Delve – 11.62 trillion (Imperium)
  3. Lonetrek – 7.13 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Sinq Laison – 5.88 trillion (High Sec)
  5. The Citadel – 5.79 trillion (High Sec)
  6. Domain – 4.89 trillion (High Sec)
  7. Esoteria – 4.08 trillion (Legacy)
  8. Tribute – 3.89 trillion (mixed small groups)
  9. Oasa – 3.51 trillion (PandaFam)
  10. Vale of the Silent – 2.94 trillion (mixed small groups)

Total production added up to 115 trillion ISK in value, largely concentrated in the high sec regions around Jita (The Forge, Lonetrek, and The Citadel), the main trade hub.  That is down from the 122.78 trillion ISK in production that happened in October.  Delve, focal point of the war, was down more than 6 trillion ISK, accounting for almost half the drop in monthly production in New Eden.

Trade Value

The top regions for trade value in November were:

  1. The Forge – 439.5 trillion (Jita)
  2. Domain – 55.46 trillion (Amarr)
  3. Delve – 22.79 trillion (Imperium)
  4. Sinq Laison – 20.93 trillion (Dodixie)
  5. Lonetrek – 14.63 trillion (Caldari High Sec)
  6. Metropolis – 10.13 trillion (Hek)
  7. Heimatar – 9.70 trillion (Rens)
  8. Essence – 5.07 trillion (Gallente High Sec)
  9. The Citadel – 4.43 trillion (Caldari High Sec)
  10. Insmother – 3.74 trillion (Legacy)

Jita remains the dominate numbers, accounting for 70% of the 629 trillion ISK in trading done in New Eden in November.  Amarr remains the strongest among the lesser hubs, holding onto its number two spot even after having the short route to Jita cut by the Triglavian invasion.  Delve was down about 2 trillion ISK in value, though the destruction numbers in the region were down considerably, so there were likely just less ships that needed to be replaced.

Destruction

Finally, the impact of the war, which was being fought for its second month in Delve.  The top ten regions for destruction were:

  1. Delve – 4.50 trillion (Imperium)
  2. The Forge – 2.04 trillion (High Sec)
  3. The Citadel – 1.93 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Lonetrek – 1.65 trillion (High Sec)
  5. Sinq Laison – 1.36 trillion (High Sec)
  6. Metropolis – 1.31 trillion (High Sec)
  7. Oasa – 1.11 trillion (PandaFam)
  8. Heimatar – 1.04 trillion (High Sec)
  9. Esoteria – 1.01 trillion (Legacy)
  10. Syndicate – 961 billion (NPC Null Sec)

Destruction overall was down from 45 trillion ISK in October to 40 trillion ISK in November.  The largest regional drop was in Delve, which saw 10.89 trillion ISK in destruction in October, largely due to the Keepstar fights in NPC Delve, to a mere 4.5 trillion ISK this month.  There is still clearly a war going on.  Esoteria, TEST’s home region, which has been under attack by the Imperium joined the list.  TEST’s response to that has been to declare they are abandoning the region to move into Imperium space.  That is an issue that has yet to be resolved.

And that is where things stood in November.

For December we will have to see if people adapt to the NPC bounty nerfs or if CCP’s minor tweaks to them have any impact on that ISK faucet.

The October MER Shows Destruction in Delve and Mineral Prices at an All Time High

CCP got the Monthly Economic Report for October out yesterday, which I was looking forward to because October saw a lot of action I figured might impact the numbers.

EVE Online nerds harder

I am going to start with the big numbers, leading with destruction.

September saw 33.6 trillion in destruction.  That number got bumped to 45 trillion ISK, with Delve coming out way in front of the pack.

  1. Delve – 10.89 trillion (Imperium)
  2. Lonetrek – 2.24 trillion (High Sec)
  3. The Citadel – 2.06 trillion (High Sec)
  4. The Forge – 2.05 trillion (High Sec)
  5. Sinq Laison – 1.51 trillion (High Sec)
  6. Querious – 1.34 trillion (Imperium)
  7. Pochven – 1.18 trillion (Triglavian)
  8. Oasa – 1.12 trillion (PandaFam)
  9. Metropolis – 1.12 trillion (High Sec)
  10. Domain – 920 billion (High Sec)

Last months number one, Querious saw 2.71 trillion in destruction as World War Bee played out in the region.  While there were some big clashes, they were nothing compared to the battles in NPC Delve in early October.

NPC Delve stands out on the map

My own posts about those battles:

That series of titanic clashes ended when the invaders bubble wrapped their fifth Keepstar drop, but by then many trillions of ISK had been blown up.  There was a bit of relief on both sides with that as those fights took a toll in both ISK and personal fortitude.

Besides the spike in Delve, much of the chart looks about on par for normal.  High sec around trade hubs tends to see lots of destruction.  Of interest is the new region of Pochven, which came in with the October update.  I guess the Triglavians were busy cleaning house.

And then there is Oasa, the crab capital of New Eden now, where some players rat and mine 23.5 hours a day.  I admire their almost robotic stamina, but somebody has been hunting them it seems.  There isn’t anything else going on in that space.

The other big number comes on the mining front where the indices chart shows that mineral prices have hit an all time high.

Oct 2020 – Economic Indices – Long Term

Mineral prices are now higher than even the post dronelands fix when minerals were removed from drone NPCs.  So miners must be raking in the loot, right?  Well… September saw a total of 27.3 trillion ISK worth of ore mined in New Eden.  October saw that rise slightly, to 28.68 trillion ISK.  The top ten regions were:

  1. The Forge – 1.6 trillion (High Sec)
  2. Domain – 1.58 trillion (High Sec)
  3. Metropolis – 1.5 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Sinq Laison – 1.45 trillion (High Sec)
  5. Oasa – 1.16 trillion (PandaFam)
  6. Lonetrek – 1.14 trillion (High Sec)
  7. The Citadel – 1.01 trillion (High Sec)
  8. Tash-Murkon – 978 billion (High Sec)
  9. Everyshore – 831 billion (High Sec)
  10. Derelik – 793 billion (High Sec)

Why no overall boost or spike in region totals?  Because the same October update that brought the Pochven region also landed a severe blow with the nerf bat on mineral yields for ore, stripping minerals from different sectors of space.  If the prices went up and the totals stayed about the same, that means the yield must have been way off.  The mineral starvation diet continues in New Eden.

Trade values were also up a bit, moving from 600 trillion ISK in September to 658 trillion ISK in October with the top regions being:

  1. The Forge – 456 trillion (Jita)
  2. Domain – 57.46 trillion (Amarr)
  3. Delve – 24.29 trillion (Imperium)
  4. Sinq Laison – 21.67 trillion (Dodixie)
  5. Lonetrek – 15.48 trillion (Caldari High Sec)
  6. Metropolis – 10.21 trillion (Hek)
  7. Heimatar – 9.64 trillion (Rens)
  8. Essence – 4.91 trillion (Gallente High Sec)
  9. The Citadel – 4.53 trillion (Caldari High Sec)
  10. Oasa – 4.3 trillion (PandaFam)

The Forge, home to Jita and the Tranquility Trading Tower in Perimeter, remain far and away the top spot for trade.  Jita, Amarr, and Delve all saw increases in trade, while other regions… and it is the same set of regions in the top ten for both months… were stable or saw slight declines.

Delve, of course, represents the Imperium supplying the war effort.  And Amarr, its short route to Jita now cut by Triglavian space, is rising rather than falling now standing on its own.  We shall see if that trend continues.

Production also reflects the war effort when it comes to the war, with 122.78 trillion ISK in production taking place in October, up from 114.5 trillion ISK the month before.

  1. The Forge – 21.55 trillion (High Sec)
  2. Delve – 17.31 trillion (Imperium)
  3. Lonetrek – 6.86 trillion (High Sec)
  4. The Citadel – 6.58 trillion (High Sec)
  5. Oasa – 5 trillion (PandaFam)
  6. Domain – 4.95 trillion (High Sec)
  7. Sinq Laison – 4.88 trillion (High Sec)
  8. Esoteria – 3.84 trillion (Legacy)
  9. The Kalevala Expanse – 3.60 trillion (PandaFam)
  10. Malpais – 3.34 trillion (PandaFam)

The trio of The Forge, The Citadel, and Lonetrek remain the industrial core of the game, feeding the Jita markets, but out in Delve the Imperium was busy building replacements for the many ships expended in NPC Delve.  PandaFam is also making their way in producing out in their space.  Legacy also made the cut in Esoteria, though there is a minor invasion going on in their industrial heartland, with The Initiative joining The Bastion and Ferrata Victrix there.

And, finally, there is the big ISK faucet, NPC bounties.  October will be a benchmark month as CCP set about nerfing this with the November update.

October saw 55.9 trillion ISK in NPC bounties collected, up a bit from the 52.1 trillion ISK taken in the month before.

Oct 2020 – Top Sinks and Faucets Over Time

The top regions were:

  1. Oasa – 6.23 trillion (PandaFam)
  2. Branch – 4.24 trillion (PandaFam)
  3. Cobalt Edge – 3.6 trillion (PandaFam)
  4. Perrigen Falls – 2.88 trillion (PandaFam)
  5. Vale of the Silent – 2.52 trillion (mixed small groups)
  6. The Kalevala Expanse – 2.25 trillion (PandaFam)
  7. Insmother – 2.07 trillion (Legacy)
  8. Detorid – 1.97 trillion (Legacy)
  9. Malpais – 1.83 trillion (PandaFam)
  10. Tenal – 1.76 trillion (PandaFam)
  11. Delve – 1.73 trillion (Imperium)

As you can see, the attackers in World War Bee are enjoying a good deal of freedom to rat and mine at home.  I tacked Delve on there in 11th place to show that it was still active even with the war having come to the region at last.  Esoteria, which was in the top ten last month, dropped down to 18th place.  I am going to guess that the minor invasion which I mentioned above might be suppressing a bit of ratting.

So it goes.

We will see in the November MER if the nerfs CCP brought have an impact on the NPC bounty numbers.  When we were out in Oasa Fraternity seemed a bit testy about people stealing from their ESS banks.

If you are interested in the charts and the raw data, CCP makes all of that available as a download with the MER dev blog.

Related:

The September MER Follows the War in EVE Online

CCP got the EVE Online Monthly Economic Report for September out on Monday, so it is time to see what the numbers say for the third month of World War Bee.

EVE Online nerds harder

Since it is war time, destruction is the first thing I want to look at.  The top ten regions for destruction in September were:

  1. Querious – 2.71 trillion (Imperium)
  2. The Forge – 2.24 trillion (High Sec)
  3. Lonetrek – 1.59 trillion (High Sec)
  4. The Citadel – 1.54 trillion (High Sec)
  5. Delve – 1.40 trillion (Imperium)
  6. Metropolis – 1.19 trillion (High Sec)
  7. Sinq Laison – 1.15 trillion (High Sec)
  8. Catch – 942 billion (Legacy)
  9. Genesis – 919 billion (High Sec)
  10. Oasa – 848 billion (PandaFam)

As with August, The Forge, the usual top dog, remains in second place and three null sec regions occupy the list.  But in August it was Fountain at the top.  For September Querious tops the list with almost the exact same total as Fountain had the month before.

Most of the other regions, most of which were in last month’s top ten, were down.  Only Catch was up compared to the previous month.

Overall the MER says that 33.6 trillion ISK was destroyed in New Eden in September, down from the 38.4 trillion reported in August.  An odd turn in that.  My guess is that when we get the October MER we will find Delve at the top… I count nearly 10 trillion destroyed so far… with Querulous in staying on the list.

From there I might as well flip the coin a look at production.  The top ten regions were:

  1. The Forge – 21 trillion (High Sec)
  2. Delve – 14 trillion (Imperium)
  3. Lonetrek – 6.74 trillion (High Sec)
  4. The Citadel – 6.72 trillion (High Sec)
  5. Domain – 4.56 trillion (High Sec)
  6. Oasa – 4.48 trillion (PandaFam)
  7. Sinq Laison – 4.39 trillion (High Sec)
  8. Vale of the Silent – 3.69 trillion (mixed small groups)
  9. Esoteria – 3.06 trillion (Legacy)
  10. The Kalevala Expanse – 2.89 trillion (PandaFam)

The Forge, Lonetrek, and The Citadel, which all feed the Jita market dominate production.  But Delve does pretty well as the Imperium builds to feed its war effort.  Meanwhile, PandaFam in Oasa and TKE work away on their supply line and Legacy builds in Esoteria.  I am note sure who is building in Vale of the Silent, but carry on.  A total of 114.5 trillion ISK of production took place in September.

And to supply that production there needs to be minerals.

With the announcement of the pending mining nerf, mineral prices resumed their climb in September.

Sep 2020 – Economic Indices

In fact, if you look at the long term chart, mineral prices are now around the all time high they hit back in 2012, when CCP changed the drones NPCs in the drone regions to have bounties rather than mineral drops.

Sep 2020 – Economic Indices – Long Term

We have to keep that in mind when we look at the amount mined, as it is measured in ISK value rather than a physical amount.  The top ten regions for mining were:

  1. The Forge – 1.50 trillion (High Sec)
  2. Oasa – 1.27 trillion (PandaFam)
  3. Metropolis – 1.26 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Sinq Laison – 1.23 trillion (High Sec)
  5. Domain – 1.14 trillion (High Sec)
  6. Lonetrek – 1.14 trillion (High Sec)
  7. The Citadel – 888 billion (High Sec)
  8. Tash-Murkon – 849 billion (High Sec)
  9. Perrigen Falls – 769 billion (PandaFam)
  10. Everyshore – 768 billion (High Sec)

Mining remained a high sec game, with only two null sec regions making the cut.  Gone are the days of the “Delve Time Units” of yore.  And even with the bump in mineral prices, the amount mined was in most of the top regions when compared to August.   Overall the regional data shows a total of 27.3 trillion ISK worth was mined in September, down from the 30.6 trillion ISK mined in August and the 29 trillion ISK mined in July, when prices were less dear.

And once you mine and build all of that, you have to sell it, which brings us to the trade values.  The top ten regions for trade were:

  1. The Forge – 411 trillion (Jita)
  2. Domain – 52 trillion (Amarr)
  3. Sinq Laison – 24 trillion (Dodixie)
  4. Delve – 20 trillion (Imperium)
  5. Lonetrek – 15 trillion (Caldari High Sec)
  6. Metropolis – 10 trillion (Hek)
  7. Heimatar 9.2 trillion (Rens)
  8. Essence 5.2 trillion (Gallente High Sec)
  9. Oasa – 4.3 trillion (PandaFam)
  10. The Citadel 4.2 trillion (Caldari High Sec)

Of the 600 trillion ISK in trade in New Eden, Jita remains the undisputed champion, accounting for (along with Perimeter) more than two thirds of the total.  But The Forge has been declining a bit every month, while the fall of Niarja has seemed to stimulate Amarr some, as it has risen since that event, up almost 9 trillion ISK since August.

However, since Niarja was pulled from its high sec connections to become part of the Triglavian Pochven region earlier this month, that might change.  Amarr was no doubt boosted some by the proximity of the fighting in Niarja.  Now that is gone.  Will its proximity to the war front, relative to Jita, sustain its growth going forward?

Delve, meanwhile, saw a boost in trade, and will likely see an even bigger boost in both trade and production when the October MER is released.

And, finally, to pay for all that trade, capsuleers need ISK, and NPC bounties remain the biggest ISK faucet in the game.

Sep 2020 – Top Sinks and Faucets Over Time

NPC bounties have settled down into a fairly predictable range over the last few months.  For August the total bounty payout was 52.6 trillion ISK, in September the number was 52.1 trillion ISK.  But who is earning that ISK?  The top ten regions in September were:

  1. Oasa – 6.10 trillion (PandaFam)
  2. Branch – 3.47 trillion (PandaFam)
  3. Cobalt Edge – 3.40 trillion (PandaFam)
  4. Perrigen Falls – 2.79 trillion (PandaFam)
  5. The Kalevala Expanse – 2.35 trillion (PandaFam)
  6. Insmother – 2.27 trillion (Legacy)
  7. Vale of the Silent – 2.18 trillion (mixed small groups)
  8. Esoteria – 1.97 trillion (Legacy)
  9. Detorid – 1.92 trillion (Legacy)
  10. Deklein – 1.89 trillion (mixed small groups)

PandaFam in general, and Fraternity in particular, seem to be raking in the big ISK still in their home space, far from the war.

So it goes.

As noted the war and the big mining nerf will likely show up even more pronounced on the MER when the October edition is released.  Destruction, production, and trade ought to see a boost, while overall mineral prices should continue their climb into record high territory.

As always, the charts and data from the MER are available from CCP.

 

The August MER and the Second Month of World War Bee

We got the August Monthly Economic Report for EVE Online last week and I finally had some time to take a look.  I cannot even blame CCP this time for my slipping into another month.

EVE Online nerds harder

And since there is a war on, I might as well look into destruction first.  A CCP tallied a total of 38.4 trillion ISK in destroyed ships and structures for August, up 2 trillion from July.

The top ten regions for destruction in August were:

  1. Fountain – 2.70 trillion (Imperium)
  2. The Forge – 2.69 trillion (High Sec)
  3. Domain – 2.18 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Heimatar – 1.91 trillion (High Sec)
  5. Lonetrek – 1.86 trillion (High Sec)
  6. The Citadel – 1.83 trillion (High Sec)
  7. Delve – 1.69 trillion (Imperium)
  8. Catch – 1.36 trillion (Legacy)
  9. Metropolis – 1.24 trillion (High Sec)
  10. Sinq Laison – 1.31 trillion (High Sec)

For once The Forge region is not at the top of the chart.  Fountain, where much of the fighting was focused in August and PandaFam pushed into the region, made it to the top.  Though, to be fair, it is only there because there was almost a trillion less ISK destroyed in The Forge in August.  The July number was 3.6 trillion.

Meanwhile, the Domain region jumped considerably.  In July it was under 1 trillion, but for August it jumped past the 2 trillion ISK mark.  I have no doubt that this was due to the Triglavian take over of Niarja and the fighting that provoked.

Delve, ostensibly the target of the war, remained at a modest 1.69 trillion ISK, on par with July, while Catch, home to some of Legacy Coalition, saw destruction nearly double, hitting 1.36 trillion ISK in August, up from shy of 800 billion in July.

Overall amount of destruction is down since the start of the war.  When I looked at the numbers in June, a total of 45 trillion ISK had been destroyed and over 2 trillion ISK had been destroyed in Delve.  I’m not sure that was how things were supposed to trend.

Then there is trade.  I was wondering if the change to Niarja would have an impact on trade in Domain and its Amarr trade hub.  It is probably too early to tell, but I can always plot the numbers and see how they change over time.

So for August these were the top ten regions for trade value:

  1. The Forge – 433 trillion (Jita)
  2. Domain – 43.5 trillion (Amarr)
  3. Sinq Laison – 18.5 trillion (Dodixie)
  4. Delve – 17 trillion (Imperium)
  5. Lonetrek – 15 trillion (Caldari High Sec)
  6. Heimatar – 9 trillion (Rens)
  7. Metropolis – 8.5 trillion (Hek)
  8. Essence – 5.8 trillion (Gallente High Sec)
  9. The Citadel – 4.8 trillion (Caldari High Sec)
  10. The Kalevala Expanse – 4.4 trillion (PandaFam)

The Forge was down a bit, though was still 10x second place.  Amarr remained in second and was up 7 trillion ISK in trade, no doubt due to its proximity to the Niarja fighting.  So maybe we’re seeing some impact already, though only time will tell.

On the money making front NPC bounties, the primary ISK faucet in New Eden, the tap was still open in several regions.

Aug 2020 – Top Sinks and Faucets Over Time

While still down from the highs of the past, and even the peaks of earlier in the year, there was still 52.6 trillion in bounties paid out, compared to 57.7 trillion ISK in July and 54.2 trillion in June.

The top regions in August were:

  1. Oasa – 6.31 trillion (PandaFam)
  2. Cobalt Edge – 3.40 trillion (PandaFam)
  3. Branch – 3.08 trillion (PandaFam)
  4. Perrigen Falls – 2.89 trillion (PandaFam)
  5. The Kalevala Expanse – 2.79 trillion (PandaFam)
  6. Deklein – 2.15 trillion (PandaFam)
  7. Insmother – 2.14 trillion (Legacy)
  8. Delve – 2.03 trillion (Imperium)
  9. Vale of the Silent – 1.96 trillion (mixed small groups)
  10. Detorid – 1.82 trillion (Legacy)

PandaFam may be doing the heavy lifting when it comes to the invasion, but they also appear to be benefiting from the focus on the southwest of null sec as they purge the NPC menace in their regions for fun and profit… or at least profit.

And, finally, there is mining.  Mining value is based on the market price, so we must always keep the market price in mind.  And, for August, the market price dipped just a bit.

Aug 2020 – Economic Indices

So when we tally up the mining values for August and come up with 30.6 trillion ISK in value, and then compare it to July, where the count was 29 trillion ISK, we can surmise that more ore was harvested in August.  The top regions were:

  1. The Forge – 1.59 trillion (High Sec)
  2. Domain – 1.34 trillion (High Sec)
  3. Sinq Laison – 1.27 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Metropolis – 1.27 trillion (High Sec)
  5. Lonetrek 1.23 trillion (High Sec)
  6. Oasa – 1.19 trillion (PandaFam)
  7. Perrigen Falls – 930 billion (PandaFam)
  8. The Citadel – 924 billion (High Sec)
  9. Insmother – 913 billion (Legacy)
  10. Tash-Murkon – 862 billion (High Sec)

High sec remains the focus of most of the mining in New Eden, though three null sec regions are on the list.  Once again, the invaders benefit as the focus of the war is away from their regions.

I expect the mining numbers to change somewhat radically over the next few MER cycles.

CCP’s next big nerf to mining, which I mentioned on Tuesday, is set to take effect in October, but the effects were already being felt from the moment it came up.  Mineral prices jumped up significantly and a lot of people undocked their Orcas to try and scoop up as much ore as possible before the big hit, after which I expect prices will rise even further and the CCP induced shortage impacts the market.

High sec mining bots tripping over each other to get to the belts

So I expect a big shakeup in the mining numbers with that.  We shall see.

As always, all the raw data for the MER is available to download as part of the dev blog post.

Other coverage:

 

The July MER and The First Month of War War Bee

I was away when the July MER landed, so am a bit behind writing about it, but I did use a bit of data from the report earlier in the week to illustrate the destruction the war is (or is not) causing.

EVE Online nerds harder

This covers the first month of the war, which means there is a month lag from what we see in this data and what is going on right now.  Still, this might indicate some of the impact of the war.

Starting with minerals, which saw a decline in price last month, we see a resumption of the price climb we have been witnessing over the last few months.

July 2020 – Economic Indices

Minerals were up a sharp tick again, pulling up the Primary Producer Price Index with it and flattening the decline of the Secondary Producer Price Index and the overall Consumer Price Index.

Was this war related?  It seems likely.

While I reported on Tuesday that destruction overall in New Eden was down in July, the large null sec factions were also creating war time supply chains to keep the war going, so there was likely a lot of stockpiling in staging bases.  There was a point when there were fewer than two dozen Muninns on the market in Jita, one of the key hulls used by both sides.

As for where mining is going on, high sec still seems to be the prime location:

  1. The Forge 1.56 trillion (High Sec)
  2. Domain – 1.29 trillion (High Sec)
  3. Metropolis – 1.23 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Sinq Laison – 1.22 trillion (High Sec)
  5. Lonetrek – 1.21 trillion (High Sec)
  6. Oasa – 957 billion (PandaFam)
  7. The Citadel – 914 billion (High Sec)
  8. Tash-Murkon – 876 billion (High Sec)
  9. Everyshore – 788 billion (High Sec)
  10. Perrigen Falls – 785 billion (PandaFam)

Eight of the top ten regions is high sec, with the other two regions falling with in the Fraternity areas of PandaFam space in the northeast of null sec.  For the first time in what seems like forever, no Imperium regions made the cut.  But there is a war going on.

The total amount mined was 29 trillion ISK in value, up from 24 trillion ISK in June.  Some of that was no doubt due to demand pushing up the price, but there was probably more mined over all to get that big of a jump.

Then there are NPC bounties, the big ISK faucet in the game.  Those went up a bit, with 57.7 trillion ISK in bounties paid out, up from the 54.2 trillion ISK taken in June.

July 2020 – Top Sinks and Faucets Over Time

As with June, PandaFam still holds the crown for most NPC bounties with the top ten regions looking like this:

  1. Oasa – 6.36 trillion (PandaFam)
  2. Cobalt Edge – 3.87 trillion (PandaFam)
  3. Perrigen Falls – 3.22 trillion (PandaFam)
  4. Branch – 2.66 trillion (PandaFam)
  5. The Kalevala Expanse – 2.31 trillion (PandaFam)
  6. Insmother – 2.04 trillion (Legacy)
  7. Delve – 1.93 trillion (Imperium)
  8. Malpais – 1.90 trillion (PandaFam)
  9. Vale of the Silent – 1.71 trillion (mixed small groups)
  10. Detorid – 1.70 trillion (Legacy)

The six PandaFam regions in the top ten represent more than one third of all NPC bounties claimed in July, so you know who is getting rich while the fighting is going on down in the southwest of null sec.

Finally, I want to look at trade values for regions.  One of the events that occurred during August was the fall of Niarja to the Triglavians, turning that system into a combat free-for-all and cutting the direct shipping route between Amarr in Domain and Jita in The Forge.

Because of this, there were many questions about what impact this cut would have.  Would it help or hurt Amarr?  Would it boost the lesser trade hubs of Hek, Dodixie, and Rens.  Well, maybe we can answer that over the long term, starting with the August MER.  But first we need to take a snapshot of the state of things in July to get the “before” picture.  So here were the top ten regions for trade in July, with their key trade system of affiliation noted:

  1. The Forge – 454 trillion (Jita)
  2. Domain – 36 trillion (Amarr)
  3. Delve – 20 trillion (Imperium)
  4. Sinq Laison – 16 trillion (Dodixie)
  5. Lonetrek – 14 trillion (Caldari High Sec)
  6. Metropolis 7.7 trillion (Hek)
  7. Heimatar 7.1 trillion (Rens)
  8. The Kalevala Expanse 6.3 trillion (PandaFam)
  9. Esoteria 5 trillion (Legacy)
  10. Essence 4.8 trillion (Gallente High Sec)

Jita (with the Perimeter trading citadels) naturally stands far ahead of all the rest.  Amarr is comfortably in second, with Delve at about half its value in third place.  After that the value starts to drop off.

Now we will have to see if there are significant changes come the August MER and further on.  Maybe that will tell us if the fall of Niarja had real significance or not.

Anyway, that is my look at the July 2020 MER.  You can find all the data and charts available on the dev blog post if you want to look into it yourself.

Others on the MER:

Eight Weeks of World War Bee and the July MER

As I have mentioned in the last couple of posts, I was out of town for most of last week, so I do not have much in the way of personal observations to add.  Then again, it doesn’t seem like much happened while I was away either.  The weekend PCU capped at 35,650, down some from last week and the big move op.

A picture from the week before just because

If you’re looking for something to read, Asher Elias, founder of Reavers and one of the key Imperium FCs, wrote a long post on Reddit about Goons as the “Good Guys” in null sec and how, in his view, Goons and the coalition have changed over the years.  If you don’t agree with him, I am sure there is something in the comments to your liking.

Northern Front

The invaders spent some time moving their supers and titans from FAT-6P, where they had languished a mere four gates from Imperium space for weeks, all the way around to I-CUVX Fountain in order to assail the two remaining Imperium Keepstars in the region.  Kind of a long way to go, especially since they felt the need to lay down Keepstars for every step of the journey.  But both Keepstars will die to that onslaught without a doubt.  The KVN-36 Keepstar will likely be dead before this post goes live. (There it went.)  The Y-2ANO Keepstar, however, has no timer set currently.  PandaFam also cleaned up a bunch of structures we had left in Fountain.  When will they gate those supers and titans into Delve?

Southern Front

Going through the continuous update thread on our forums, Querious remains a place of skirmishes.  Neither side is keen to drop fresh ihubs in the eastern side of the region, and the western side remains in Imperium hands.  Lots of skirmishes, but nothing that changed the landscape.  Period Basis and Delve remained as they were.

My Participation

I did get into a couple of fleets once I was back on the weekend, so added a few kill mails to my list, but nothing spectacular.  I did not lose any ships either, so my loss total remains as such:

  • Ares interceptor – 9
  • Atron entosis frigate – 5
  • Drake entosis battle cruiser – 3
  • Malediction interceptor – 2
  • Scalpel logi frigate – 2
  • Ferox battle cruiser – 2
  • Bifrost entosis command destroyer – 1
  • Cormorant destroyer – 1
  • Purifier stealth bomber – 1
  • Hurricane battle cruiser – 1
  • Sigil entosis industrial – 1

The July Monthly Economic Report

Since I don’t have much else to say about the war, I might as well use this post to look at a bit of the July MER.  I will write a longer post later about it, but I thought the destruction numbers might be interesting.

As a baseline, the top ten regions for player ship and structure losses in June were:

  1. The Forge – 3.06 trillion (High Sec)
  2. Lonetrek – 2.40 trillion (High Sec)
  3. The Citadel – 2.19 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Sinq Laison – 2.17 trillion (High Sec)
  5. Black Rise – 2.15 trillion (Low Sec)
  6. Domain – 2.02 trillion (High Sec)
  7. Delve – 2.02 trillion (Imperium)
  8. Metropolis – 1.60 trillion (High Sec)
  9. Vale of the Silent – 1.15 trillion (mixed small groups)
  10. Fountain – 1.09 trillion (Imperium)

A total of 45.67 trillion ISK was destroyed in June across all regions.

That includes a bit of the pre-war warm up, but the war did not officially kick off until July 5th, so if the war is/was/will be real, we should see a rise in numbers in some regions.  The top ten for July were:

  1. The Forge – 3.60 trillion (High Sec)
  2. Fountain – 2.53 trillion (Imperium)
  3. Lonetrek – 1.89 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Delve – 1.61 trillion (Imperium)
  5. The Citadel – 1.31 trillion (High Sec)
  6. Metropolis – 1.06 trillion (High Sec)
  7. Providence – 1.02 trillion (Provi Bloc falling apart)
  8. Domain – 981 billion (High Sec)
  9. Heimatar – 962 billion (High Sec)
  10. Sinq Laison – 944 billion (High Sec)

The Forge, home to Jita, saw a 500 billion ISK rise in destruction, no doubt some of it due to interdiction efforts by both side.  And Fountain, the main front for the first phase of the war, was a near 2.5x increase in destruction.

However, a lot of regions, including Delve, were down when it came to destruction.  The overall count was 36 trillion ISK, down over 9 trillion ISK from June.  So I figured I would look at the regions where the war should be happening to see if at least destruction is up in those areas.

There are, I think, nine regions where the war is being waged.  Here are the June to July numbers for each:

  • Aridia – 688 billion to 516 billion
  • Catch – 801 billion to 723 billion
  • Delve – 2.02 trillion to 1.61 trillion
  • Esoteria – 717 billion to 1.31 trillion
  • Fountain – 1.09 trillion to 2.53 trillion
  • Paragon Soul – 118 billion to 668 billion
  • Period Basis – 418 billion to 1.01 trillion
  • Querious – 350 billion to 1.19 trillion
  • Stain – 558 billion to 148 billion

Looking at places where destruction was up, it seems like the war in July took place in Esoteria, Fountain, Paragon Soul, Period Basis, and Querious.  I will have to see how that develops when we get the August MER.

Addendum:

The June MER Sees Mineral Prices Sag as High Sec Takes Over Mining

We got the EVE Online monthly economic report for June late last week, and it is an interesting one for a few reasons.

EVE Online nerds harder

First, June was a month of relative peace in null sec, the last few weeks before the start of World War Bee.  Since the war kicked off on July 5th, June will be a nice baseline to see how much of an impact the war has.

Second, June shows a bit of a change in the trend since CCP’s mineral starvation plan kicked off.  For the last few months, as the company has choked off the mineral flow the price, so far as the measurement they use in the MER is concerned, has been going up.  But that ended in June. Mineral prices went down… a bit.

June 2020 – Economic Indices

The price isn’t down a lot, just to about where it was in April when prices were nearing the end of their long rise, but that is still a change.  All three indices, the PPPI, the SPPI, the CPI, and the MPI were down in June.

Third on the list is where mining has been happening.  High sec regions have always been part of the mix on this list, usually the three closest to the markets in Jita and Amarr, but null sec regions have dominated the list since I started writing posts about it.  Last month that had changed up and 6 of the top 10 regions were high sec.  This month the top 10 has only 1 null sec regions.  The list for June:

  1. The Forge – 1.38 trillion (High Sec)
  2. Domain – 1.16 trillion (High Sec)
  3. Sinq Laison – 1.08 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Metropolis – 1.07 trillion (High Sec)
  5. Lonetrek – 1.04 trillion (High Sec)
  6. Everyshore – 780 billion (High Sec)
  7. The Citadel – 742 billion (High Sec)
  8. Tash-Murkon – 720 billion (High Sec)
  9. Heimatar – 666 billion (High Sec)
  10. Fountain – 635 billion (Imperium)

Fountain is in 10th place.  Delve, which rang in 1.78 trillion in mining in May to top the list didn’t even make the cut in June, landing in 11th place with 607 billion ISK. Oasa, which was in 6th position in May with 1.35 trillion landed in 19th spot in June with just 502 billion ISK mined.

The drying up of anomalies and minerals available from moon mining operations appears to have hit hard.  I know that some of the mining platforms in Delve, which sit on nearly every moon in the region, have remained idle as running a frack wasn’t deemed worth the effort.

High sec regions totals are down, but only a bit, maybe in the range of what might be explained by the drop in prices.  But null sec mining is way down, far beyond the ability of a small price drop to explain.  You can see how the regions stack up these days, with high sec regions on top now.

June 2020 – Mining Values by Region – Bar Graph

The total value mined for June was 24 trillion, down from 29.54 trillion mined in May, a drop that one can only attribute to null sec mining much less.

Then, the last item on the interest front, there are NPC bounties, long a staple of null sec income.  Things are still going strong there, even increasing some.

June 2020 – Top Sinks and Faucets Over Time

They changed the long standing colors for the different lines on that chart and I was confused momentarily as my brain knew that NPC Bounties should be the orange line.  Now it is the blue line.  And the blue line went up in June.  That happens when there is some breathing room in null sec, a bit of peace.  A total of 54.2 trillion ISK in NPC bounties were paid out in June, up from 47 trillion ISK paid in May, which says that there was simply more ratting going on.

And who did the most ratting?  Here are the top ten regions:

  1. Oasa – 4.81 trillion (PandaFam)
  2. Delve – 4.10 trillion (Imperium)
  3. Cobalt Edge – 3.74 trillion (PandaFam)
  4. Branch – 3.09 trillion (PandaFam)
  5. Fountain – 2.86 trillion (Imperium)
  6. Perrigen Falls – 2.60 trillion (PandaFam)
  7. The Kalevala Expanse – 2.03 trillion (PandaFam)
  8. Esoteria – 1.86 trillion (Legacy)
  9. Malpais – 1.78 trillion (PandaFam)
  10. Insmother – 1.72 trillion (Legacy)

PandaFam appears to have taken over as the biggest group of crabs in null sec, though the expansion of that coalition to include Fraternity and a few other alliances living in the northeast no doubt help boost those numbers.  But that is a lot of ISK coming in, though in the regions where they are doing their ratting there are not many close by systems with NPC stations, so super carrier ratting, now much less common in Delve, has likely not had to slacken as much for PandaFam.

So there it is.

Now, the question is, what will July look like?

Mineral prices dropped even as mineral supply dropped, which seems to suggest that demand, driven by manufacturing, had fallen off.  Now there is a war going on in null sec.  There have been runs on the market for some ships.  At one point there were barely two dozen Muninn hulls in Jita.  Will mineral prices resume their climb with the increased demand?

With forces deployed to staging systems, will mining and ratting in null sec taper off as well?  Or will the fact that so many combat pilots are now down in the southeast of null sec mean that those in more distant regions… looking at PandaFam here… mine and rat even more?

And will the ADM fleets being run by the Imperium boost the numbers in Delve?

As a bonus question, what will the total destruction number in New Eden be for July?  In June it was 45.67 trillion ISK destroyed, with the top ten regions being:

  1. The Forge – 3.06 trillion (High Sec)
  2. Lonetrek – 2.40 trillion (High Sec)
  3. The Citadel – 2.19 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Sinq Laison – 2.17 trillion (High Sec)
  5. Black Rise – 2.15 trillion (Low Sec)
  6. Domain – 2.02 trillion (High Sec)
  7. Delve – 2.02 trillion (Imperium)
  8. Metropolis – 1.60 trillion (High Sec)
  9. Vale of the Silent – 1.15 trillion (mixed small groups)
  10. Fountain – 1.09 trillion (Imperium)

If the war is really a big deal, we should see a rise in destruction in the regions being attacked (Delve, Fountain, Period Basis, and Querious) as well as adjacent regions where the attackers are staging (Aridia, Catch, and Paragon Soul).

We will have to wait until next month to get the July numbers and find out.

But if you want to look at the June numbers and see all the data behind them, you can download the whole package as from CCP.

The May MER and Mineral Starvation in New Eden

CCP released the Monthly Economic Report for May 2020 so we can see how the mineral starvation plan has progressed.

EVE Online nerds harder

With CCP’s mineral starvation measures all in place for two months now we can see if we’re getting anywhere close to a new normal.  Mineral prices continued to rise.

May 2020 – Economic Indices

The slope of the price climb for ore and minerals isn’t as steep as it has been for the last few months, but it continues to go up.  We are still short of the all time mineral index high, which occurred back in 2012 with the Escalation expansion, when CCP changed the drones in the drone regions to have bounties rather than dropping minerals.

May 2020 – Economic Indices – All Time

However, with a war brewing in null sec, prices might see a boost based on demand alone.

The Primary Producers Price Index (PPPI) did not rise as sharply.  Though ore and minerals make up part of that index, so does Planetary Interaction materials, and the market for that has been flooded lately as it turns out Upwell structures provide those when salvaged, and a whole bunch of Upwell structures have died since CCP introduced the “abandoned” state with the Forsaken Fortress update and turned them into a loot pinata free for all.  So that probably help keep the PPPI from rising.

The Secondary Producers Price Index (SPPI) though, that is made up largely of PI items, and you can see that it just kept on falling.  Hope you weren’t trying to make some money on PI the way I was.

And the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is made up of finished goods, remained flat.  Again, we shall see if war has any impact on that.

As for where mining is happening, the top ten regions for May were:

  1. Delve – 1.78 trillion  (Imperium)
  2. Domain – 1.44 trillion (High Sec)
  3. The Forge – 1.39 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Sinq Laison – 1.34 trillion (High Sec)
  5. Lonetrek – 1.13 trillion (High Sec)
  6. Oasa – 1.07 trillion (PandaFam)
  7. Metropolis – 919 billion (High Sec)
  8. Fountain – 864 billion (Imperium)
  9. Malpais – 857 billion (PandaFam)
  10. Perrigen Falls – 832 billion (PandaFam)

I decided to just mark each region with its owner.  PandaFam is the name coined by Jin’taan to cover the coalition that includes Pandemic Horde, Pandemic Legion, NCDot, and Fraternity as its major players.

There was 29.54 trillion ISK mined all told in May, down from 31.58 trillion mined in April.  This probably means less was mined in May as the price, on which these numbers pivot, were up.  Last month the top ten was:

  1. Delve – 1.81 trillion (Imperium)
  2. Domain – 1.64 trillion (High Sec)
  3. The Forge – 1.59 trillion (High Sec)
  4. Oasa – 1.35 trillion (PandaFam)
  5. Sinq Laison – 1.34 trillion (High Sec)
  6. Lonetrek – 1.15 trillion (High Sec)
  7. Fountain – 911 billion (Imperium)
  8. Metropolis – 888 billion (High Sec)
  9. Genesis – 878 billion (High Sec)
  10. Tash-Murkon – 869 billion (High Sec)

Null sec has upped its game somewhat since May, or at least PandaFam has.  They must be planning for a war or something.

And then there is the bounties front.

May 2020 – Top Sinks and Faucets Over Time

We saw a dip in bounties when the Surgical Strike update hit the game and nerfed damage resistance modules.  That looks to have bounced back once people adjusted their fits.  It is still down from where it was earlier this year though.

A total of 47 trillion ISK in bounties was paid out, with the top ten regions being:

  1. Oasa – 4.06 trillion (PandaFam)
  2. Delve – 3.75 trillion (Imperium)
  3. Cobalt Edge – 2.92 trillion (PandaFam)
  4. Fountain – 2.71 trillion (Imperium)
  5. Perrigen Falls – 2.69 trillion (PandaFam)
  6. Branch – 1.88 trillion (PandaFam)
  7. The Kalevala Expanse – 1.73 trillion (PandaFam)
  8. Esoteria – 1.66 trillion (Legacy)
  9. Feythabolis – 1.59 trillion (Legacy)
  10. Insmother – 1.58 trillion (Legacy)

The big three null sec blocs did most of the ratting, with Oasa topping the list.  Last month Delve was at the top:

  1. Delve – 5.79 trillion (Imperium)
  2. Oasa – 4.47 trillion (PandaFam)
  3. Perrigen Falls – 3.02 trillion (PandaFam)
  4. Fountain – 2.54 trillion (Imperium)
  5. Cobalt Edge – 2.50 trillion (PandaFam)
  6. Branch – 1.91 trillion (PandaFam)
  7. Esoteria – 1.90 trillion (Legacy)
  8. Omist – 1.87 trillion (Legacy)
  9. Tenal – 1.62 trillion (PandaFam)
  10. Malpais – 1.58 trillion (PandaFam)

There was a general order against super carrier ratting in Delve when the Surgical Strikes update hit, and that remains in place.

So it goes.

Next month, when we seen the June MER, we will get a glimpse of post-change stability again, plus a look at the economy before the big war starts on July 5.  We will have to wait until August to see what impact that really has, though the focus on ADMs in the Imperium might see bounties jump some all the same.

In addition to the MER, CCP put out a look at the Q1 2020 New Eden economy, which covers what is important to their point of view, including things not covered by the MER, like the PLEX price trend.  CCP seems to be happy that the price is going down for PLEX, though that also means people buying PLEX to get ISK are getting less for their real world cash.  I suppose there is a happy medium in there.

Anyway, the MER and all of the data is available at the usual location.

The April MER and Mining and Ratting

CCP got us the Monthly Economic Report for April 2020.  These seem to be dropping later in the month this year, but at least we’re still getting them.

EVE Online nerds harder

This was a report I was waiting for as it will show us the impact of the last round of mining changes, the removal of common ore and mineral types from moon mining.  That change went in at the end of March, so April is the first time we will be able to see any repercussions.

April also saw the Surgical Strike update, which made super carrier ratting less viable, so we can see if that had an impact on NPC bounty numbers as well.

But mining first.

All that scarcity appears to be working, at least when it comes to mineral prices.  Those continued a sharp rise in April.

April 2020 – Economic Indices

That continued rise in prices is now looks like it could reach an all time high, as the long term chart shows.

April 2020 – Economic Indices – All Time

The all time peaks look like they hit in 2012… I am not sure what was going on at those two moments… but the trend looks like we are heading there again.

Interestingly, not all of the indices are following the mineral price spike.  The primary producer price index (PPPI) is climbing somewhat with the mineral spike.  But the PPPI has ore prices as one of its components.  Here is what makes up the PPPI:

  • Ore
  • Planetary Processed Materials
  • Planetary Refined Commodities
  • Planetary Specialized Commodities

The consumer price index (CPI) however has remained flat.  Here is what makes up the CPI:

  • Ammo
  • Commodities
  • Drones
  • Implants
  • Skills
  • Starbase structures
  • Tech I modules
  • Tech I ships
  • Tech II modules

That list feels like it needs to be updated as there are some items with very little price variation there.  While there are a few skills that are drops, the influence of those outliers no doubt gets hidden by the vast sea of skills with very static pricing.  You can buy most skills straight from your character sheet so you cannot even get gouged on standard skills any more unless you really want to be.

The flat line of the CPI also seems to indicate that maybe we’re working off supply further down the production pipeline.  Realistically, if mineral prices are going up, ship and module prices should be as well… people are complaining that tech II guns are tough to find in Jita, so those prices should be spiking… but the line remains flat.  Perhaps the CPI going up is what CCP is waiting for.

And then there is the secondary producer price index (SPPI), which is trending on an almost reciprocal line to mineral prices.  The SPPI is made up of:

  • Blueprints
  • Commodity
  • Planetary Commodities
  • Planetary Refined Commodities
  • Planetary Specialized Commodities

That is mostly planetary interaction output, which hasn’t been touched by CCP recently.  Demand there appears to be going down as the mineral drought throttles production.

Going as planned?  We shall see.

Meanwhile, looking at the mining numbers by region, it is starting to look like a high sec activity.

April 2020 – Mining Value by Region – Bar Graph

The total mined overall was 31.58 trillion ISK worth (a number inflated by the rise in mineral prices), with the  top ten regions by value mined in April being:

  1. Delve – 1.81 trillion
  2. Domain – 1.64 trillion
  3. The Forge – 1.59 trillion
  4. Oasa – 1.35 trillion
  5. Sinq Laison – 1.34 trillion
  6. Lonetrek – 1.15 trillion
  7. Fountain – 911 billion
  8. Metropolis – 888 billion
  9. Genesis – 878 billion
  10. Tash-Murkon – 869 billion

That list is three null sec regions Delve, Fountain, and Oasa (2x Imperium and 1x PandaFam), and seven high sec regions. (Those seven are also close to trade hubs.)

If you go back to November of last year, six months back, before all of this kicked off and after the Chaos Era had ended, the top ten regions for mining were flipped the other way around, with seven null sec regions and three high sec regions.

  1. Delve – 4.55 trillion
  2. Esoteria – 2.43 trillion
  3. Outer Passage – 2.00 trillion
  4. Querious – 1.39 trillion
  5. Domain – 1.14 trillion
  6. The Forge – 993 billion
  7. Malpais – 953 billion
  8. The Kalevala Expanse – 910 billion
  9. Feythabolis – 781 billion
  10. Sinq Laison – 737 billion

So the mineral squeeze, the starvation diet, the diminution of asteroid yields, and the removal of common ore and minerals from null sec seems to be having an effect.  And CCP is still looking for loopholes.  Earlier this week they removed asteroids from combat anomalies, just in case you were tempted to rat and mine at the same time.

Which brings us to ratting and NPC bounties.  As mentioned above, April saw the Surgical Strike update launched, which reduced the effectiveness of shield and armor resistance modules.  This was ostensibly put in place to make more capital ships explode… there were additional nerfs aimed straight at supers and titans… but which also had an impact on PvE as well.  Your mission running, abyssal pocket, and ratting fits all took a hit, and so NPC bounties fell.

April 2020 – Top Sinks and Faucets Over Time

A total of 50.46 trillion ISK in NPC bounties were collected in April, with the top ten regions being:

  1. Delve – 5.79 trillion
  2. Oasa – 4.47 trillion
  3. Perrigen Falls – 3.02 trillion
  4. Fountain – 2.54 trillion
  5. Cobalt Edge – 2.50 trillion
  6. Branch – 1.91 trillion
  7. Esoteria – 1.90 trillion
  8. Omist – 1.87 trillion
  9. Tenal – 1.62 trillion
  10. Malpais – 1.58 trillion

Compare that to March, where 58.26 trillion ISK in NPC bounties were paid out.  The top ten regions for March were:

  1. Delve – 7.91 trillion
  2. Oasa – 7.14 trillion
  3. Perrigen Falls – 3.71 trillion
  4. Cobalt Edge – 3.07 trillion
  5. Omist – 2.93 trillion
  6. Tenal – 2.84 trillion
  7. Esoteria – 2.11 trillion
  8. Fountain – 2.09 trillion
  9. Feythabolis – 1.92 trillion
  10. Branch – 1.80 trillion

Every region on the April list is down compared to their March numbers.  This was likely due to fewer super carriers out ratting after the update.  Super carriers had long been pretty much invulnerable to subcaps, requiring a dreadnought fleet to take one down reliably. (The dreadbomb.)  Now, with the resistance changes and fighters applying less effectively to subcaps, they are now vulnerable.

While the dip in NPC bounties doesn’t seem that big, it only represents a partial month of change.  I expect that the May numbers will show a further decline as the state of NPC bounties and ratting adjusts to the new normal.  There is a lot of that going around.

So it goes.

As always, the full monthly economic report has a lot more data and many more charts than what I post here, so if you are interested in the details you can dig into it.