One of the problems, as the summer blockbuster season peters out and your into the dregs of the season, is that the movie press, ever keen to make predictions at the peak of the season, wanders off and stops giving you hints about what the given movies in a week might do.
Box Office Pro, one of the sites I watch, and the site that provides the official numbers for the weekly results, was providing two predictions posts a week, with updates in between, early in the season. Late in the season… well, they might do one post… maybe.
Not that you don’t get some hints as to what should do well and what may not. The weekly pricing scheme is essentially a set of predictions. It is just a very early set, done before reviews or testing social media penetration or whatever other entrails the movie press examines in order to come up with numbers.
So for week twelve, the penultimate week of the season, we pretty much just had the pricing to guide us, which shook out as follows:
Hitman's Bodyguard $254 Annabelle Creation $216 Logan Lucky $184 Dunkirk $98 The Nut Job 2 $62 Spider-Man $58 The Emoji Movie $52 Girls Trip $50 The Glass Castle $48 The Dark Tower $48 Wind River $43 Kidnap $38 Atomic Blonde $34 Planet of the Apes $29 Despicable Me 3 $28
Meanwhile, enthusiasm within our own ranks was dwindling as well. Three members have effectively dropped out, Braxwolf went all-in on The Emoji Movie, and leader of the pack Liore forgot to make her picks, so had to roll with her selections from the previous week.
Of course, Lucky Liore’s past picks were all still valid, leaving her with no empty screens, making me wonder if there was a strategy there. It wasn’t obvious to me that she hadn’t picked until the first numbers came in. Then she was at the bottom of the list, a position she held right through until the official numbers were announced.
The top movie of the week was The Hitman’s Bodyguard, which was not unexpected, and I was in on that with three screens, rounding out the rest with five screens of Wind River.
The Hitman’s Bodyguard actually did a bit better than expected, given its low score with the critics, and at one point looked to be the best price/performer of the week, which would have been a nice bonus for me. However, with the final count, it turned out that The Emoji Movie took the price/performance prize.
And so, a special mention goes to Braxwolf for managing to pick eight screens of the best price/performing movie of the week and still managing to be last place among those who bothered to pick at all this week.
That left the weekly numbers looking like this:
- Wilhelm’s Clockwork Lemon Multiplex – $79,032,172
- Void’s Awesomeplex – $75,556,725
- Pasduil’s Popcorn Picturehouse – $75,178,012
- Moderate Peril’s Sleazy Porno Theatre – $73,771,730
- Syl’s Fantasy Galore Panopticum – $65,247,704
- Ocho’s Octoplex – $58,620,296
- Braxwolf’s Waffleplex – $51,528,224
- Dr Liore’s Evil House of Pancakes – $44,312,427 (Forgot to pick)
I managed a first place finish, but the gap wasn’t that big, and was primarily because I was the only one to go with three screens of The Hitman’s Bodyguard. That was the winning anchor move of the week.
If only Brax and I had combined our thoughts, me going with three screens of The Hitman’s Bodyguard and him heavy on The Emoji Movie, because those two, plus a screen of Despicable Me 3 were the perfect pick for week 12.
However, as a sign of how chaotic and/or dissolute this week was, only 16 people managed the perfect pick. I think that is a record low.
The overall scores after week 12 were:
- Dr Liore’s Evil House of Pancakes – $1,224,086,213
- Wilhelm’s Clockwork Lemon Multiplex – $1,179,008,520
- Ocho’s Octoplex – $1,074,532,158
- Void’s Awesomeplex – $1,059,475,800
- Moderate Peril’s Sleazy Porno Theatre – $1,033,195,465
- Pasduil’s Popcorn Picturehouse – $1,020,148,883
- Braxwolf’s Waffleplex – $977,956,202
- Syl’s Fantasy Galore Panopticum – $918,601,684
Nobody moved up or down in the rankings this week, the usual state of affairs. I did managed to close the gap between myself and Liore by $35 million. However, given that the gap was over $80 million last week, that still leaves a sizable distance between us.
I joked that my only hope was if Liore forgot to pick again, but then I looked at the lineup for the 13th and final week of the competition.
Hitman's Bodyguard $203 Annabelle Creation $143 Birth of the Dragon $99 Dunkirk $74 Logan Lucky $73 Leap! $68 All Saints $67 The Nut Job 2 $58 Emoji Movie $53 Spider-Man $52 Wonder Woman $50 Girls Trip $40 The Dark Tower $33 Baby Driver $32 Kidnap $30
You know a week is dead when the new movies on the list, in this case Leap! and All Saints, aren’t even in the top five when it comes to cost per screen. So I am actually pretty sure if Liore forgot to pick again this week she would likely still take the season. In a week where my only hope is a huge, huge win the total gross is likely to be barely enough to equal the gap between Liore and I.
Anyway, we shall see. Tune in next week for the final score of the summer blogger fantasy movie league.